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December 2007 - Vol 2, Issue 6
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Each year, at the end of the year, we follow a grand publishing tradition and dedicate a newsletter to the results of the current year and forecast what we think will happen in the upcoming year.

In this issue of the OVO Innovation newsletter, we'll look at what happened in 2007 where innovation is concerned, and what we think is going to happen in 2008.

And yes, we're honest enough to look at our projections for 2007 and note where we were right and were wrong.

Have a happy holiday season and a great New Year!

Looking back

We'll start our review with a look back at some of our key predictions for 2007 and what we got right, and where our expectations have not come to pass. Interested in the complete 2007 forecast? See this link for the white paper on our website.

Senior Management

In our projections for 2007, we forecast that management teams would become more involved and more committed to innovation as an organic growth opportunity. Over 2007, I think we saw increasingly that management teams understand that innovation is important, but are having a hard time balancing the demands of meeting quarterly results versus the investment to become more innovative.

The market, however, continues to reward firms that demonstrate innovation capabilities. Apple is a good example of a firm that has gained tremendous market cap in the last few years based on its innovative new products. A market basket of recognized innovators continues to distance itself from the S&P 500 and other market indices.

Until management teams demonstrate increased focus and commitment to innovation as a consistent capability, rather than an experiment or a bolt on solution, innovation will not take root in an organization. 2008 will be a decisive year for firms that have been tinkering with innovation.

Governments

Looking forward into 2007, we thought that local, state and national governments would become more involved in innovation, acting as sponsors and perhaps providing new funding opportunities or tax incentives. In 2007, most US government and state government agencies are moving cautiously. Some states, such as Rhode Island with its Business Innovation Factory, have demonstrated leadership. However, most government agencies can't decide how to get involved and are merely acting as cheerleaders.

European countries, especially the Scandinavian countries, are focused on improving innovation as a corporate skill. Finland, for example, has conducted an audit of the innovativeness of the people in Finland and has developed training programs to increase the innovation capabilities of mid and senior level managers across industries.

Most governments need to take their cue from the private sector, and begin to innovate their operating models, expectations, processes and services. Even if a government can't sponsor innovation, it can work to become more innovative.

Models

In late 2006 we forecast that innovation models would change. The older R&D centric models are being replaced by innovation approaches that span the organization, and in many cases are being superseded by models that incorporate third parties, business partners and customers. Many firms are recognizing that they simply cannot "control" innovation within their four walls or manage it effectively without incorporating other firms and prospects and customers. There are many models at work, and none yet are well-proven. One of our new favorites is "proprietary networks" - open innovation between trusted partners. This means that within a group of trusted partners, firms can share ideas and request help with building new products or services on an "open innovation" model, but only with firms that have been previously vetted and included in the network.

Innovation as a process

Increasingly, this thinking is becoming accepted in every sphere. Originally, many firms believed that merely saying they wanted more ideas would be enough to create new products and services. What they discovered was that while there were plenty of ideas within the firm, there were no methods to manage, evaluate and approve the ideas, so the ideas that were generated went nowhere. Now, innovation as a process has gained acceptance, and many firms are defining their processes, workflows and teams to support and enable innovation.

Innovation Definitions

In our last forecast, we argued that innovation definitions would broaden. Traditionally, innovation had been thought of as new physical products. Increasingly, we believe that innovation will be defined as new products, and new services, new processes, new business models. Gary Hamel published a book in 2007 entitled The Future of Management, which is an argument for business model innovation. His book draws into question the fact that our management styles and paradigms haven't changed much while we expect tremendous improvements in innovation in other areas of our businesses.

However, these concepts did not impact organizations as quickly as we believed they would. Many innovation initiatives are still tightly focused on new product innovation, leaving many possible innovations on the table.

Conclusion

So, how did we do in our forecast for 2007? Probably we were a bit too optimistic about the speed of adoption for innovation, and how broadly innovation would be applied. However, there's no question that innovation is rapidly becoming a core competency within many firms, and tightly interwoven with corporate strategy.

Like many ideas and technologies, innovation is following an adoption curve. Right now, we are in a transition from early adopters to early majority, as innovation takes on more "whole product" features and is proven out as a process that any firm can follow.
Experiments and false starts

In 2007 there were a number of firms that began to experiment with innovation initiatives and projects. Often these efforts were undertaken to "experiment" or to pilot an innovation process which would help the management team decide the investment necessary and the return on investment that innovation can bring. The problem is that these experiments, while often successful, don't provide an insight into the true value of innovation, since they are one-time, bolt-on efforts that don't attract the top billing and resources necessary for ultimate success. Also, since they are not permanent initiatives, there's little rationale to change the culture or to compensate or recognize people appropriately for participation.

This is not to say that piloting and experimenting aren't valuable, just to indicate that culture, compensation, commitment and a number of other characteristics are important and can't be implemented in a pilot or experimental project.

Management models

There are increasingly several models for managing innovation within a firm. Many larger firms with several lines of business (LOB) or product lines will use a combination of a central team, responsible for managing innovation processes, methods and tools, and "local" teams in each LOB or product group responsible for innovation in their teams. Another model is a distributed model, where innovation is encouraged but each LOB or product unit is largely left to its own approaches and devices. Finally, some firms centralize innovation in a central team, and all innovations are managed within the confines of the team and its processes. All of these models have proven successful - the defining factor is how the model fits with the culture of the organization. Some firms, Intel for example, have also used an entrepreneurial model, where engineers can suggest new products and write a business plan to gain funding to allow the engineer to prove his or her ideas as if Intel were a VC.

Staffing

After years of downsizing and outsourcing, most firms have very little "slack" left in their management teams. While innovation is important, it's hard to find people who are motivated to take on another responsibility. Some firms are filling this gap by leveraging consultants who can partner with the firm to start developing new processes and innovation approaches. Eventually, this role needs to be a full time role within the organization, but many firms are finding it useful to kick start an innovation initiative leveraging consultants to start idea generation and process definition, for several reasons: bandwidth, cultural attitudes and experience.

Who's responsible

In previous years, it was often difficult to find individuals who had an "innovation" responsibility or title. Increasingly, it's becoming much easier to find individuals who are responsible for innovation within their firms. Whether this is a Chief Innovation Officer or a person with a formal innovation title, there's an acceptance in many firms that innovation must be managed - and frequently this role is outside of traditional R&D and reports to senior executives.

Return on Investment

Right now there is a significant concern about return on investment where innovation is concerned, and that focus risks placing a lot of hard work in peril. There's simply too much change underway to expect a return very quickly with innovation. After all, our goals should not be to cut costs or trim around the edges, but create entire new markets and new business models. These efforts take time and will require a longer runway to success than the efforts to improve efficiency. Too much emphasis too soon on return on investment will only lead to very incremental innovation, if any at all.
Elephants Dance

We've been encouraged to think of innovation as a new consumer product (Tide, iPod, etc). However, there's tremendous innovation opportunity outside of the traditional consumer product space. Andy Grove, who was the CEO of Intel for many years, has a new article in Portfolio magazine this month noting that Wal-Mart and GE can play important roles in innovation - Wal-Mart by disrupting the health care industry in the US and GE by disrupting the electronic vehicle market.

We believe that 2008 will be the year that the elephants dance - in other words - firms like GE and Wal-Mart will create some really new and disruptive innovations. When these larger firms, with their breadth of capabilities decide to seriously engage another market, there can be tremendous change.

We also believe there will be more innovation focus from the Department of Defense and from Homeland Security - two very large organizations that can command a lot of attention and drive a significant amount of change. Both of these organizations have encountered significant external threats and forces and have had time to consider their responses. We believe in 2008 we'll see real innovation from some of these larger government bodies as well.

Beyond the product

In 2008, many firms will innovate new products, but increasingly they'll understand that innovation is more than just new products. We expect to see more changes in business models, services and marketing channels. We noted that recently Dell has decided to sell PCs in physical stores, and Microsoft is contemplating opening stores as well, as a counterpoint to the very successful Apple stores. These are just a few examples of changes driven by consumer dictates and expectations.

Innovation is the strategy

Over the last few years, innovation has been a buzzword, a way to gain some market attention. Increasingly, firms are recognizing that corporate strategy and innovation must be tightly aligned for innovation to drive value. In the US and Western Europe, we continue to outsource manual labor, manufacturing and even low level white collar jobs. To remain vital, we must use our innovative skills to continue to drive value. Innovation is not a byproduct, it is rapidly becoming the product, and so must take center stage as part of the corporate strategy.

IT is the driver

Innovation may have a big impact on your IT team in 2008 as well. This is because IT is one of the teams that is best positioned to take on a central innovation role.

Yes, many IT teams are overworked and have more on their plate than they can manage. But, IT is very comfortable working across the organization, is familiar with building processes across organization stovepipes and managing the workflow and the data flow across a process. Additionally, it is a team that exists outside of the lines of business and functional stovepipes, so IT is familiar working across organizational boundaries. Of course, it already has experience developing and managing data and computer systems, which become a necessary part of a corporate focus on innovation.

Visionary CIOs have already noticed this and begun to stake out innovation as an area that their teams should "own". Increasingly, the Chief Information Officer will play an important role in fostering and sponsoring innovation across the organization.

Education

It will be interesting to watch executive education programs, MBA programs and other coursework to see how innovation begins to impact the courses that are offered for managers and leaders. In the MBA programs, innovation is just beginning to become a focus area. Given the time it takes to change the academic approach to education, it will be several more years before there's widespread curriculum. The leading indicators to watch will be executive education programs, where curriculum can be changed more quickly and instructors often come from both academia and industry. Expect to see many more new programs offering training and education on innovation in the near future, targeted at mid to senior level executives.

The Tipping Point

As Malcolm Gladwell made famous, the tipping point is upon us. In the next few years, innovation will prove itself as a core strategic competency, and all firms will move rapidly to shore up their capabilities, or innovation will prove to be a "nice to have" a fad that seemed to offer great promise but never really paid off. Our bet is that we'll continue to see both results. Firms that actively engage, from the top down, on the important facets of innovation - changing corporate culture, making innovation part of the corporate strategy, becoming systematic at innovation and challenging the sacred cows and dogmas within the firm, will wonder why they ever operated any other way. Firms that continue with cost cutting and status quo operations, while attempting to bolt on an innovation project or process, will ultimately be dissatisfied with the results and will determine that innovation is an overblown fad. Here's to the firms in the first category who will recognize the power that innovation can provide.

Bruce Nussbaum - BusinessWeek

Nussbaum writes on the influence of design on innovation, and has a great perspective on what's happening in innovation at a macro level. Here's a link to his predictions for 2008.
2008 Innovation Resolutions

As innovators, we need to establish our expectations and set resolutions for ourselves and our teams. Here are a set of resolutions we suggest for 2008. Note that these are also listed on the Innovate on Purpose blog.

Resolutions:
  1. Our innovation team will ensure our work is aligned with and supported by the senior management team.
  2. We resolve to take bigger risks and disrupt at least one product or market this year
  3. We'll incorporate innovation as a regular component of our strategy and treat it as a standard operating procedure, rather than something we "bolt on" to existing operations
  4. In 2008, we'll move from purely product innovation to seek opportunities for innovation in processes, services, business models and other intangible solutions
  5. As our innovation capability improves, we'll seek ideas and inputs from our business partners and customers on a regular basis
  6. We will implement a more consistent, sustainable innovation approach across our organization
  7. Innovation will take on a customer focus. We'll eliminate technology led innovation and seek instead unmet or undermet customer wants and needs
  8. We'll spend more time understanding trends and looking over the horizon to ascertain what's happening so we can respond more effectively or alter the course of what happens
  9. We'll provide the necessary resources for innovation to flourish. After all, if innovation is so important, then we should provide the people and dollars necessary for it to work effectively
  10. We'll stop worrying about making it perfect and just do something radical.


Possibly you can't adopt all of these resolutions, but pick the ones that will impact your organization and start innovating more effectively in 2008.

If you'd like to discuss how OVO can work with you to improve your innovation strategies, ideation sessions, innovation processes or software, contact us today at our website or (919) 844-5644 x789. If you enjoyed this innovation newsletter, please pass it along to your friends. If you wish to unsubscribe, please see the link below.

Sincerely,


Jeffrey Phillips
OVO

phone: 919-844-5644 x789


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